Ah, finally
we come to the end of the Central, the St. Louis Blues, and the fifth preview
of the day. It's been an interesting experience; tune in tomorrow, when I'll
not only try to post five season preview on the site, I'll try to write
ten! Hooray!
These previews will now appear five a day (hopefully),
or one division on each of Monday (Central), Tuesday (Northwestern), and
Wednesday (Pacific) until the season starts on October 5th. They will be
put on-site by division, roughly in order of predicted finish. Note that
the rookies listed are only those most likely to make the team, not necessarily
ones who have already sewn up a spot, and surprises always occur in training
camp, though with camps out at this point the guesses are more solid than they
were two weeks ago. The In/Out portion represents significant players
added and lost since the end of the 2003-04 season. And now, on with the
show...
In: Eric Brewer, Aaron Downey,
Patrick Lalime, Dean McAmmond, Scott Young, Trent Whitfield
Out: Al MacInnis, Scott Mellanby, Chris
Osgood, Murray Baron, Mike Danton, Pavol Demitra, Jeff Finley, Alexander
Khavanov, Chris Pronger, Brian Savage
Rookies: Andy Roach, Jeff Woywitka, Doug
Lynch, Dennis Wideman, Peter Sejna
Few moves this off-season were as clearly
indicative of the new times in the NHL as St. Louis’s trade of Chris Pronger to
Edmonton. While the Oiler fans celebrated as though it were some kind of poetic
justice after the franchise had to get rid of so much high-priced talent in the
past, including when they traded Doug Weight to St. Louis, the Blues and their
fans are left to ponder what’s next for them. St. Louis has been notoriously
bad at developing young players for years, and even with the addition of
Woywitka and Lynch in the Pronger trade still have one of the worst prospect
lists in the league. Yet with nearly $13.5 million in salary this season going
to Weight and Keith Tkachuk alone, the Blues couldn’t afford to dive into the
free agent market. At this point all St. Louis can do is put together a motley
crew of veterans and youngsters, spend more money on their scouting department
and hope for the best.
Strengths: 1. St. Louis has a good young
defense, led by Brewer, Barret Jackman and Christian Backman. Under the new
CBA rules Brewer is only one season away from unrestricted free agency, but by then
Jackman and Backman may well be leading a defense that includes Woywitka,
Lynch, and fellow prospects Dennis Wideman and Roman Polak. Matt Walker,
meanwhile, is only 25 and is a fairly steady presence in his own zone, as are
Bryce Salvador, 29, and Eric Weinrich, who turns 39 in December but will provide some veteran
leadership from the back end for at least this season. They’ll
make some mistakes this year, but overall should be a fairly steady group.
2.
Patrick Lalime was saddled with much
of the blame for Ottawa’s 2004 playoff collapse, and rightly so, after
he gave up a number of soft goals that killed his team’s chances in the
first round
against the Maple Leafs. However, the Blues' goal won’t be to win the
Stanley
Cup, but simply to make the playoffs, and Lalime does have the ability
to help
them get that far. Lalime’s statistics from his last four seasons as
Ottawa’s
starter aren’t mind-blowing, but you can’t argue with the results: in
245 games
his record was 127-86-27. He had his ups and downs in Ottawa, but his
consistency has improved and he is a solid NHL starter.
Weaknesses: 1. The Blues quite simply
lost far too much firepower in Pavol Demitra and Chris Pronger and was unable
to replace it. When you lose players of that caliber from a team that only
finished 21st in offense when they were around, as the Blues did in
2003-04, that’s not a recipe for success. While the team has Weight, who
is still, at 34, a top level playmaker, and Tkachuk, who reported to camp
overweight but still knows how to score, that’s only two-thirds of a top line,
and this team doesn’t even have a suitable candidate to play on their right,
let alone make up a decent second scoring line. This is a team so desperate for
offense they signed 38-year-old Scott Young, who scored a grand total of eight
goals for Dallas in 2003-04, and is depending heavily on Eric Boguniecki, who
had one good NHL season in 2002-03 but has shown little before or since, Petr
Cajanek, who has a total of 21 NHL goals in two seasons, and rookie Peter
Sejna, who had all of 17 goals in the AHL last season, to produce. Even if
Young can score twenty and Boguniecki, Cajanek and Sejna have career seasons
it’ll be ugly.
2. While the Blues will be fairly solid
on the blueline, they are lacking in an elite puck-mover, the kind of
defenseman that can make the long pass that will be so critical in the new, two
line pass-less NHL. The closest one to fit the bill is Brewer, but after
watching him for four full seasons in Edmonton I can say honestly he looks like
he’s taken a step back in his development. Brewer is 26, and if he’s ever going
to develop into a legitimate number one defenseman it’ll have to be soon, but
sometimes the mistakes he makes in all zones make him look like he’s still a
rookie. Backman will be a good two-way performer, but never the kind of player
the Blues need right now. If Jackman can develop an offensive side to his game
the Blues will be thrilled, but he’s more of a defensive presence. After that it’s
slim pickings on the Blues blueline as far as guys who can handle the puck and
maybe run a power play.
Don’t be Surprised If: Weight becomes a
highly-sought rental player at this season’s trade deadline. The Blues aren’t
too likely to still be in the race at that point, Weight’s contract expires
after this season, and he would look very good on a contender’s second line.
Veterans like Mike Sillinger, Dallas Drake, McAmmond, Jamal Mayers and Weinrich
could get a long look from a club trying to make a run at a Stanley Cup as
well, and the Blues will be desperate to stock their club with draft choices
and prospects by then.
Outlook: It really doesn’t look good in
St. Louis. For this team to even get a sniff of the playoffs, Tkachuk will have
to score 45-50 goals, Lalime will have to be a Vezina Trophy candidate, Weight
will need to be around the 90 point mark, and Brewer will have to consistently
show sides to his game that only shone through rarely in Edmonton. It’s just
not very likely; it’s more likely that the Blues will be floundering around the
conference basement this season.
Centres: 1. Doug Weight 2. Petr Cajanek 3. Mike
Sillinger 4. Ryan Johnson 5. Trent Whitfield
Wingers: 1. Keith Tkachuk 2. Eric Boguniecki 3.
Scott Young 4. Peter Sejna 4. Dallas Drake 5. Dean
McAmmond 6. Jamal Mayers 7. Mark Rycroft 8. Reed Low 9.
Aaron Downey
Defensemen: 1. Eric Brewer 2. Barret Jackman 3.
Christian Backman 4. Bryce Salvador 5. Eric Weinrich 6. Matt
Walker 7. Andy Roach 8. Dennis Wideman 9. Jeff Woywitka
10. Doug Lynch
Goalies: 1. Patrick Lalime 2. Reinhard Divis
Restricted Free
Agents: